Originally Posted by Gaxkang 
Vaporware? Time will tell, but it sounds like you way too risk averse with such a small sum. Are you the sort of cautious person that takes out a default swap on your insurance company, in case you have an accident and your insurer goes bust? Given that Kickstarter (and Larian) is just about the only hope for RPGs, I'd happily take one dud for every one that turns out well.
What about Spiderweb and Basilisk?
Also, CDProjekt?