Prime Junta
RPGCodex' Little BRO
- Joined
- October 19, 2006
- Messages
- 8,540
Pladio, there's a very good reason not to say anything.
Right now the most important thing is to defuse the tension and get the parties talking again. Condemnations of Hezbollah will simply piss them off, bring up accusations of foreign interference, and make this more difficult, increasing the likelihood of further, and worse, flare-ups.
Don't forget that they said that they will abandon respect for any red lines they've respected thus far at the first sign of American interference. I take this to mean that they will simply seize power through a military coup and have the Lebanese government shot, imprisoned, or exiled. I'm inclined to take them at their word.
They have the capability to do this, and I believe they've just demonstrated that they're willing to do this too, if backed into a corner. That would plunge the country into civil war that would certainly last years, and given the amount of heavy weaponry currently there, wreak at least as much destruction as the previous 15 years of it.
Therefore, no high-minded condemnations of anyone just now. Pretty please?
Right now the most important thing is to defuse the tension and get the parties talking again. Condemnations of Hezbollah will simply piss them off, bring up accusations of foreign interference, and make this more difficult, increasing the likelihood of further, and worse, flare-ups.
Don't forget that they said that they will abandon respect for any red lines they've respected thus far at the first sign of American interference. I take this to mean that they will simply seize power through a military coup and have the Lebanese government shot, imprisoned, or exiled. I'm inclined to take them at their word.
They have the capability to do this, and I believe they've just demonstrated that they're willing to do this too, if backed into a corner. That would plunge the country into civil war that would certainly last years, and given the amount of heavy weaponry currently there, wreak at least as much destruction as the previous 15 years of it.
Therefore, no high-minded condemnations of anyone just now. Pretty please?
- Joined
- Oct 19, 2006
- Messages
- 8,540