KaosWarMonk
Keeper of the Watch
- Joined
- April 9, 2015
- Messages
- 880
Common sense is often not that common.
- Joined
- Apr 9, 2015
- Messages
- 880
Well seems we probably have two more years of living like this. Can't wait for the public to lose patience with all the social distancing restrictions. I know I am already.
Where are you getting two years from? It's more like two months if even that.
Where are you getting two years from? It's more like two months if even that.
Depends on what you talk about.
As we will not kill the spread of the virus (much harsher measures are needed for that), and the goal is to keep the spread at about 1.0, where the health systems can take care of it, it will take significantly longer than a couple of months until we reach immunity.
Maybe a few years until natural heard immunity, maybe 6 to 18 months for a vaccine.
Some restrictions might be lifted earlier on, but before that time, we will not be able to go 100% back to before. E.g. mass gatherings before that are unlikely. Germany already banned them till end of August. So the Gamescom end of August will not take place.
That's the pessimistic scenario. Covid can also simply disappear never to return like SARS. We can't know what will happen, but part of the goal of social distancing in the case it disappears is as less casualities as possible in the meantime.Search the internet as new research show this virus isn't going away. It will come back in waves for the next few years. Basically due to no cure yet. So the main goal is to contain and slow future outbreaks.
That's again a partial info. There are some cases where postdisease people didn't have antibodies any more. It's nothing odd, a certain percentage of people don't react to some vaccine either.Exactly but new data shows the immunity is not permanent for those infected. It was part of the two year forcast report. Hopefully a vaccine is devolped this year. As some new drugs are entering the test phase for covid viruses.
Exactly but new data shows the immunity is not permanent for those infected. It was part of the two year forcast report. Hopefully a vaccine is devolped this year.
Depends on what you talk about.
As we will not kill the spread of the virus (much harsher measures are needed for that), and the goal is to keep the spread at about 1.0, where the health systems can take care of it, it will take significantly longer than a couple of months until we reach immunity.
Maybe a few years until natural heard immunity, maybe 6 to 18 months for a vaccine.
Some restrictions might be lifted earlier on, but before that time, we will not be able to go 100% back to before. E.g. mass gatherings before that are unlikely. Germany already banned them till end of August. So the Gamescom end of August will not take place.
Search the internet as new research show this virus isn't going away. It will come back in waves for the next few years. Basically due to no cure yet. So the main goal is to contain and slow future outbreaks.
Which means the country might open up but we will not be going back to business as usual. So social distancing is still required. Mandatory tests and masks for everyone.
Frankly I forsee more future lockdowns again.
See here's the thing this will not go away like the flu. That's already been proven by data. Many hoped this would fade away but it isn't.That's the pessimistic scenario. Covid can also simply disappear never to return like SARS. We can't know what will happen, but part of the goal of social distancing is in the case it disappears is as less casualities as possible in the meantime.
I'm talking about full lockdown. It's not going to be anywhere near that long.
I think, given the size of the crap coronavirus has taken in the money bed, unprecedented efforts are being made to combat it. I think it's quite likely they'll shortcut the usual ethical/safety measures for the development of a vaccine. There's talk of testing it by deliberately infecting volunteers with the virus, which is pretty extreme, but could shave a fair bit of time off the process.