Shortlisting the GOTY 2019 - Most Anticipated

Was not suggesting a time limit in playing - min was minimum (as in minimum number of games). Of course that would have to be an honor system.

Perhaps, but there is no sure way to validate the amount of hours that someone claims to have played a game and it would probably be too much work to do so anyway.
 
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How is Colony Ship missing from the list entirely? 2020 is still the official release date I believe. And it's gotten a hell of a lot of discussion here. It should be in the final list.
Added the release date

Also King's Bounty II is officially slated for a 2020 release, but not filled in on the DB
Added the release date

…. I thought about mentioning that too (Ed: Black Geyser), but couldn't find any place where the devs have ever officially said it'll be released in 2020. Only saw talk of an alpha/beta/whatever release.

I figured the criteria here was probably that it needs an officially stated 2020 release date to qualify. Because if not, there's a lot of other games to consider, like Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous, Diablo 4, Encased, Copper Dreams, and Knights of the Chalice 2. Maybe even Starfield or ELEX 2. I don't believe any of them have been officially ruled out for 2020?
The dates we have for games being released in 2020 sometimes appear to be coming from a drunken leprechaun, throwing darts at a multi-year calendar.
For estimated release dates, we either go with official release dates or with 'A high probability of being released in 2020'.
With Black Geyser anything is possible. The development takes so long that it might or might not be released in 2020. I am not sure it qualifies for 'A high probability', but I am ready to be convinced otherwise.
ELEX 2 hasn't even been properly announced, so a release date in 2020 is just a guess. In my opinion that should not qualify.
KotC2 goes to Kickstarter next month and it should be released this year, so I added a release date for it.
I don't know about the rest to be honest, so if the 'feeling' is that there is a high likelihood of the game being released this year, let me know.

Xenonauts 2 has listed a release date of March 14 2020 on their GOG page:
Added

Mount & Bland 2: Bannerlord. Errr, probably. It's releasing to early access soon. Does that count?
No, it doesn't. Games can stay quite a long time in early access. Same as above, if there is a high likelihood of it being released in 2020, let me know.

The table centralizes bits of information.
A product like Urthuk, that should meet the expectations, is ignored.
I don't know about Urthuk, but Urtuk i in the table (it's on place 34 of the short list, so did not make it to the top 30 of that short list).
 
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Using the same selection criteria, the following is the resulting short list of 30 games:


Alaloth: Champions of the Four Kingdoms
Biomutant
Colony Ship - A Post-Earth Role Playing Game
Cyberpunk 2077
Eitr
Fallen Dungeons
Gamedec
King's Bounty II
Knights of the Chalice II
Langrisser I & II
Monomyth
Praey for the Gods
Realms Beyond
Stoneshard
System Shock (Remake)
Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon
Tears of Avia
The Black Masses
The Dark Eye: Book of Heroes
The Protagonist: EX-1
The Six Dragons
The Waylanders
Vagrus: The Riven Realms
Vampire - The Masquerade: Bloodlines 2
Vaporum: Lockdown
Wasteland 3
Wellspring: Altar of Roots
Wizardry: Labyrinth of Lost Souls
Wolcen: Lords of Mayhem
Xenonauts 2
 
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I don't know if it's better, but you could use some derivation of the h-index which is used for scientific publications.

So a game would have an h-index of h, if it has h topics with at least h comments.
Not sure how that works. If I sort the table by comments only, which are the citations according to the example, then the papers should be the games, I think.
If so then the h index is 26. So the first 26 games (sorted by comments) make it to the list.

Doing it on ratio makes no sense as the h-index is 7. We only have 7 games.


In short, I wouldn't know how to apply that properly for this list :)
 
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KotC2 goes to Kickstarter next month and it should be released this year, so I added a release date for it.
I wouldn't be so sure of that, he's been saying it'll be on Kickstarter "any month now" for at least a year. But yeah, probably reasonable to think it might show up in 2020, especially given he said the game was completed on January 27...of last year.
 
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Not sure how that works. If I sort the table by comments only, which are the citations according to the example, then the papers should be the games, I think.
If so then the h index is 26. So the first 26 games (sorted by comments) make it to the list.

Doing it on ratio makes no sense as the h-index is 7. We only have 7 games.


In short, I wouldn't know how to apply that properly for this list :)
Sorry for being unclear. My idea was to calculate the h-index for each game and then sort the games by h-index (higher index = more important).

Unfortunately you need more data than this table. For each game you need a list of the number of postings for each topic.
So for example the game has 10 topics with the following number of postings (sorted for clarity):
  1. 100
  2. 95
  3. 50
  4. 40
  5. 25
  6. 20
  7. 15
  8. 10
  9. 5
  10. 1

So the h-index of the game would be 8 because there are 8 topics with at least 8 postings.
(For an h-index of 9 it should be 9 topics with at least 9 postings. But the topic with the 9th most postings has only 5 postings.)
Hope it's clear now. If not I could write down the mini-algorithm in pseudocode.
 
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Ok, using the h-index, the sorted long list of games is:
Title | Genre | News Posts | Comments | Ratio | h-index
Cyberpunk 2077|RPG|107|3111|28.8|28
Realms Beyond|RPG|30|1066|34.4|16
Wasteland 3|Tactical RPG|44|628|14.0|14
System Shock (Remake)|Shooter-RPG|59|397|6.6|12
Colony Ship - A Post-Earth Role Playing Game|RPG|46|325|6.9|10
Xenonauts 2|Tactical RPG|20|254|12.1|10
Knights of the Chalice II|RPG|13|262|18.7|9
Vampire - The Masquerade: Bloodlines 2|Action-RPG|24|247|9.9|8
Wolcen: Lords of Mayhem|Hack & Slash|90|329|3.6|8
The Waylanders|RPG|30|164|5.3|7
Biomutant|Action-RPG|17|74|4.1|6
Alaloth: Champions of the Four Kingdoms|Action-RPG|5|83|13.8|5
Vagrus: The Riven Realms|Strategy-RPG|23|68|2.8|5
Wellspring: Altar of Roots|RPG|11|95|7.9|5
Death Trash|RPG|10|33|3.0|4
Eitr|Action-RPG|9|49|4.9|4
Hellpoint|Action-RPG|9|37|3.7|4
The Dark Crystal: Age of Resistance|Strategy-RPG|7|20|2.5|4
Wizardry: Labyrinth of Lost Souls|Dungeon Crawler|4|87|17.4|4
Dark Envoy|Tactical RPG|6|20|2.9|3
Gamedec|RPG|4|62|12.4|3
King's Bounty II|Strategy-RPG|3|49|12.2|3
Langrisser I & II|J-RPG|3|26|6.5|3
Praey for the Gods|Action-RPG|9|52|5.2|3
The Black Masses|Action-RPG|5|24|4.0|3
The Dark Eye: Book of Heroes|Tactical RPG|3|60|15.0|3
The Iron Oath|Tactical RPG|13|31|2.2|3
The Six Dragons|Action-RPG|3|20|5.0|3
Divinia Chronicles: Relics of Gan-Ti|Action-RPG|7|10|1.2|2
Empire of Sin|Strategy-RPG|4|13|2.6|2
Griftlands|Card-Based RPG|3|14|3.5|2
Isles of Adalar|Action-RPG|3|12|3.0|2
Jupiter Hell|Roguelike|9|16|1.6|2
Neon District|RPG|2|10|3.3|2
Stoneshard|RPG|3|26|6.5|2
Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon|RPG|2|29|9.7|2
Tears of Avia|Tactical RPG|4|22|4.4|2
The Falconeer|Action-RPG|3|9|2.2|2
Urtuk: The Desolation|Tactical RPG|3|14|3.5|2
Vaporum: Lockdown|Dungeon Crawler|2|13|4.3|2
Curious Expedition 2|Roguelike|1|3|1.5|1
Dolmen|Action-RPG|2|1|0.3|1
Eastward|Adventure-RPG|1|3|1.5|1
Fallen Dungeons|Dungeon Crawler|1|15|7.5|1
Gedonia|RPG|2|4|1.3|1
Grand Guilds|Tactical RPG|1|3|1.5|1
Immortal Realms: Vampire Wars|Strategy-RPG|1|1|0.5|1
Last Epoch|Action-RPG|2|2|0.7|1
Legend of Keepers|Roguelike|2|1|0.3|1
Luckless Seven|Card-Based RPG|2|1|0.3|1
Monomyth|Action-RPG|2|16|5.3|1
Nehrim: At Fate's Edge|RPG|1|6|3.0|1
Space Wreck|RPG|1|7|3.5|1
The Alliance Alive HD Remaster|J-RPG|1|5|2.5|1
The Protagonist: EX-1|RPG|1|9|4.5|1
The Way of Wrath|Strategy-RPG|1|8|4.0|1
TRIALS of MANA|J-RPG|1|4|2.0|1
UnDungeon|Action-RPG|1|4|2.0|1
Warlander|Action-RPG|2|6|2.0|1
Yaga|Action-RPG|4|7|1.4|1
Celestian Tales: Realms Beyond|RPG|1|0|0.0|0
Haven|Adventure-RPG|1|0|0.0|0
Koruldia Heritage|J-RPG|1|0|0.0|0
Othercide|Strategy-RPG|1|0|0.0|0
Tales of Arise|Action-RPG|1|0|0.0|0
The Forgotten City|Adventure-RPG|2|0|0.0|0
Wigmund. The Return of the Hidden Knights|Action-RPG|0|0|0.0|0

The short list would end at The Six Dragons, which is 28 games
 
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Sacred Fire is supposed to release by the end of this year. According to Kickstarter comments by Poetic from a few months ago "we will have the beta (story and art complete version of the game) at the end of June 2020 and release Sacred Fire till the end of the year 2020 on Steam, GoG, and itch.io."

Copper Dreams (according to the Nov 2019 KS update) is on track for a 2020 release. However, the beta was supposed to release before the end of last year & as it has been delayed perhaps that makes the 2020 release less likely.

Those are probably my #2 and #3 most anticipated.
 
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An updated list that will be used for the GOTY next week:


Alaloth: Champions of the Four Kingdoms
Biomutant
Colony Ship - A Post-Earth Role Playing Game
Copper Dreams
Cyberpunk 2077
Dark Envoy
Death Trash
Eitr
Gamedec
Hellpoint
King's Bounty II
Knights of the Chalice II
Praey for the Gods
Realms Beyond
Sacred Fire
System Shock (Remake)
Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon
Tears of Avia
The Black Masses
The Dark Crystal: Age of Resistance
The Dark Eye: Book of Heroes
The Iron Oath
The Six Dragons
The Waylanders
Urtuk: The Desolation
Vagrus: The Riven Realms
Vampire - The Masquerade: Bloodlines 2
Wasteland 3
Wellspring: Altar of Roots
Wolcen: Lords of Mayhem
Xenonauts 2


I'm still open for suggestions until Sunday evening.
 
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I think that looks pretty good. I'm not familiar with all of the games but of the ones I am the only one I would remove is Xenonauts 2. Not an RPG in any definition of the word in my opinion. (One of my most anticipated GAMES though.)
 
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