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Today, 06:27
Originally Posted by txa1265 View Post
That means even with exponential growth in deaths, we are wildly under-reporting both cases and mortality.
HOWEVER, the death will still be reported. You can compare that to the normal death rate and get an overall effect of the virus. That will be giving you the over-all effect, though, not just the COVID-19 deaths. Other causes of death will go up, too, because hospitals are harder to get into, child abuse isn't reported as often, and so on. There's some pulls downward, as well, like fewer traffic deaths because fewer people are driving. It should be a useful number, though.

P.S. Craziness of the day… it seems some people have decided that 5G causes COVID-19 and are attacking cell phone towers. I guess it beats having them blame it on some race/creed/color but jeez.
--
The very powerful and the very stupid have one thing in common: instead of altering their views to fit the facts, they alter the facts to fit their views….
-- Doctor Who in "Face of Evil"
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Today, 10:39
Originally Posted by Zloth View Post
HOWEVER, the death will still be reported. You can compare that to the normal death rate and get an overall effect of the virus. […] It should be a useful number, though.
I wasn't sure at first about this assertion, because of course all other causes of death generate "background noise" in the statistics. But you're right - baseline ~8,000 deaths per day in the U.S. with a (Poisson) uncertainty of +/-89, so an additional ~1,000 per day is indeed statistically highly significant and stands out in the overall death statistics even on a one-day basis.
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